Identify and Quantify Value Creation Levers for PE Portfolio Companies

Find what moves productivity and EBITDA, and what each lever is worth

We build an econometric model of the company's own data to measure how much each lever, from price, customer mix and retention to staffing, technology and cost to serve, moves productivity and EBITDA. Management can then rank the levers by return and build the value creation plan around the evidence.

From work we have done

We built an econometric model for a PE-backed health care tech company, on nearly two years of operating data from more than 100 sites. Management set its plan from the results, and with our work alongside operators the company became 20% more productive within a year.

Separate what management controls from what it doesn't

Productivity and EBITDA move with price, staffing and technology, and also with demand, the season and the site. The econometric model holds the second group constant so each lever is measured on its own. It is not the same model for every company: each is built around that company's levers and the data it keeps.

Levers management controls
Price
List price, discounts and fee structure
Customer and service mix
Which customers and services to grow
Retention
Which customers to keep, and at what cost
Cost to serve
Vendor, input and delivery costs per customer
Staffing level and hours
Headcount and hours at each site
Staffing mix
Who handles which work: site staff, floating staff, remote teams
Technology and automation
Including AI, and how work is processed
Channels
How work and customers arrive
Factors held constant
Demand
Market conditions and volume swings
Job size
Large jobs take longer
Season
Month-to-month patterns
Site
Fixed differences between locations
Measured effect
Outcome Each lever's effect on productivity and EBITDA, sized so it can be set against its cost
Figure 1. Levers commonly assessed in PE-backed companies. Which ones matter, and by how much, differs by company.

What the readout gives management

The readout is a table of levers. Each row shows the measured effect, what a realistic change would mean for productivity, and a plain statement of the implication. Set against its cost, each row becomes an EBITDA estimate: a new hire, more hours, a price change, a change in who handles which work, or moving customers onto an electronic channel.

Some results are conditional. At one company, an upload tool raised throughput on large jobs and lowered it on small ones, which pointed to rolling it out by job size.

From an anonymized readout
One more employee at a siteAbout 5% more completed work
One more billable hour per employeeAbout 2% more
Work shifted to floating staffMore output
Work shifted to implementation staffLess output
Intake by batch import or portal instead of manual entryMore output
Upload toolDepends on job size

From the ranked levers to the plan and the exit

First 100 days
Fix the starting point

The same data sets the baseline each lever will be measured against.

100-Day Value Baseline →
During the hold
Test an investment before committing

The econometric model can stay with management as a decision tool for staffing, hours, automation or AI.

Tech Transformation →
Exit
Credit the gains to the levers

The model that ranked the levers attributes the results to them for a buyer.

Value Creation Proof →

Quantify the levers before you commit the plan

A short conversation is enough to tell whether your data can support the model, and how long it would take.