100-Day Value Creation Baseline for PE Portfolio Companies

Measure the starting line before the plan starts moving it

Every lever in the plan, whether price, retention, productivity, mix or cost to serve, needs a measured starting point. We set them in the first hundred days, so results are credited to the levers that caused them, not to the market, acquisitions or luck.

From work we have done

A newer offering, built on work where the baseline came first, including a 15% labor productivity gain in six months at a PE-backed tech-enabled services company. At a dental group, early evidence from a baselined no-show prediction pilot is promising.

Four questions to settle before the first lever moves

A baseline is a question of causal inference, not data plumbing. Answered at the start, these questions cost little. Answered at exit, they are expensive and less convincing.

1

The claim

What exactly is each lever expected to deliver?

2

The starting point

Where does the metric stand today, once seasonality, mix and one-off events are accounted for?

3

The comparison what makes attribution possible

What would have happened without the lever?

4

The measurement

Will the number in month eighteen mean what it meant in month one?

A baseline, not a reporting project

The usual approach · Reporting stand-up
"Here is what the numbers are."
Shows that a metric moved, but not why.
Our approach · 100-Day Value Baseline
"Here is where each lever started, and how we will know what it did."

It uses whatever reporting exists and adds what attribution needs.

Lets the result be credited to the lever that caused it.

From the diligence finding to the exit evidence

Before close
The diligence work becomes the baseline

What diligence measured becomes the starting point after close.

Inside-Out Commercial Diligence →
During the hold
The levers themselves

Each lever is ranked by what it is worth, then measured from here so its effect can be read as it runs.

Value Levers →
During the hold
Retention, measured from day one

Churn tracked from a fixed start, so a retention program is credited with what it saves.

Churn and Retention →
At exit
Evidence collected from the start

Exit evidence is strongest when gathered as the value is created.

Value Creation Proof →

Set the baseline while it is still the baseline

The first hundred days are the cheapest time to measure where each lever starts.